If the Crusaders players can persuade their jumbled body clocks to forgive them the tortuous regime of the last few weeks, the New Zealanders have a famous victory within their grasp in Soweto this weekend.
It won’t be easy. In fact it will be decidedly tricky. But if anybody can, the Crusaders can – as their stellar record at this stage of the season amply testifies.
The Bulls are a formidable side, not to mention a well rested one. Since these two teams last squared off on May 5 in Pretoria, the Crusaders will have travelled to and from New Zealand and got themselves up for an elimination final round-robin clash against the Brumbies in Christchurch last Friday night.
By contrast the frontline Bulls players were given the final round off, with a second-string side selected to head down the coast and complete what was, for them, a meaningless final fixture against the Stormers.
But was it? It just may be that the Bulls have made a tactical blunder ahead of this third semifinal meeting between these two sides over the last four years. Only time will tell, but despite the foreboding presence of the travel factor five key things tell me Todd Blackadder’s Crusaders can cause an upset in the first of the semifinals at Orlando Stadium when they take on the top qualifiers and defending champions at 3am on Sunday, NZ time.
Here they are:
1. Momentum.
Believe it or not it’s actually on the side of the Crusaders despite their patchy finish to the season. They were the best team on the paddock a fortnight ago when they wound down their unsuccessful tour with a 35-40 defeat notable as much for the outrageous refereeing performance of Marius Jonker as it was for anything spectacular the Bulls did.
The ‘Saders took plenty out of that Loftus match where they played most of the rugby, established the tempo and very much dictated terms for a clash which swung on two or three contentious decisions by Jonker. Then they turned round, off the long trip home, and pretty clinically dealt to a Brumbies side that had the sniff of the semis in their nostrils.
There were signs at the weekend that the Crusaders game had finally gone to the level that Blackadder has been seeking for a while now. Their work, particularly off turnover, was as sharp as it’s been all year and when New Zealand’s best team has its link play and counter game going, they are always tough to beat.
On the other side of the coin the Bulls forsook momentum in favour of resting their top lineup ahead of the semifinals – a tactic fraught with danger. It hasn’t worked in the past – particularly for the Waratahs in 2002 – and it will be interesting to see how the Bulls come out on the back of what was essentially a bye week for their leading players.
2. The Soweto factor.
The Bulls have an awesome record at Loftus Versfeld where they haven’t been beaten in over two years and where they’ve never lost in the Super rugby post-season.
But unfortunately for them, this semi ain’t at their Pretoria fortress, it’s in a soccer stadium in Soweto, because of the looming Fifa World Cup. That changes the playing field significantly.
Any mental blocks the Crusaders may have had over playing at a stadium where they’ve twice been rolled by the Bulls at semifinal time now go out the window.
Instead it’s been notable that the Crusaders team have been embracing the Soweto factor ahead of the match, expressing their excitement at the chance to play in the famous Johannesburg township at a quality venue just a stone’s throw from the brand new Soccer City stadium that will host the World Cup final in a few short weeks.
Loftus may not have held any fears for the ‘Saders, but it certainly presented some bad memories. There will still be a full house of Bulls fans at Orlando Stadium, but that won’t worry the Kiwis a bit as they look to make the most of their scheduling break.
3. They’re due.
Simple as that. The Crusaders have a superb post-season record with this their ninth straight semifinal appearance and their 12th in 13 seasons. Until 2007 they’d never lost a semi, and they responded to that departure (at the hands of the Bulls) by bouncing back to claim title No 7 the following year.
What do you know they lost at the semifinal stage to the Bulls again last year, so if the cycle holds true they should go all the way again in 2010.
But more than just sequencing suggests this could be the Crusaders year. They’re an outfit that have played more playoffs football than anybody in the competition, and they know what’s required at this stage. Plus they tend to learn their lessons. Those two semifinal defeats by the Bulls will be painful reminders of just what it takes to win against this tough side. A fortnight ago showed they’ve got a plan that works. Now they just need to execute it a smidgeon better and get a fairer deal from the man with the whistle.
4. They’ve got a better backline.
Sure, everyone knows rugby wins are forged up front, but both these packs are full of quality individuals and really should cancel each other out. Lineout edge to Bulls, scrum one to Crusaders, the breakdown and loose forward battle should be a beaut.
But the Crusaders’ attack game has found its feet in the nick of time, with Zac Guildford, Sean Maitland, Colin Slade, Dan Carter and, to a lesser degree, Robbie Fruean running into some serious form. The decision to go with Dan Bowden as a second five-eighth also seems to have worked, especially in terms of the distribution and kicking game.
The Bulls, on the other hand, are without their best finisher (van den Heever) to suspension and, let’s face it, have never been renowned for their willingness to shift it through the hands. If the Crusaders can again make this a free-flowing encounter, they will hold the trump cards.
5. Dan Carter.
He’s spent all year making uncharacteristic mistakes and struggling to find his A game. But the last two weeks there have been signs that the world’s best No 10 is coming back to the form that we’ve come to expect from him.
The battle between two fabulous pivots could well decide this clash. Morne Steyn has punished the Crusaders heavily in their recent meetings and Blackadder will stress the need to minimise the chances for this great points-taker to have either shots or pots at goal.
But Steyn does not have the decision-making prowess, nor the running game, of Carter at his best. All season the All Black great has played a strangely off-key tune, but wouldn’t it be typical – and timely – for him to take command now when the stakes are highest.
Steyn is a fine player. But he’s not Carter. Big advantage to the Crusaders.
So there you have it. Five reasons why the Crusaders could win what should be a gripping semifinal. Of course they have to make them count against a side that has fashioned a formidable record of its own of late.
It should be one heck of a semi.
By MARC HINTON – Stuff
One thing is for sure. If Bulls win this week which I think they will. The rest they took last week then has huge benefits against who ever they face in the final. That is where it will count the most.
29
I hear that Jaco Pretoruis is fit again, so it might be him in and Stefan Watermeyer on wing. Also they talk of bringing in Jaco vd W in because of his full back experience and boot.
Bulls must just work on the defence this whole week. Saders going to be running from everywhere this game. Bulls have to get first time tackles and not scrabble for the tackles.
That is the only weak spot in the Bulls game is their defence.
Discipline is key too. NO YELLOWS this week nothing. Can never be playing 14 men for 10min against this Saders side. Remember it is Dickinson that is reffing too.
If Bulls come out and run Saders ragged in the first 30min that will put paid to them. They wont have the legs to keep up in the 2nd half. No kicking everything back to them. Keep the possession. That will tire them. Believe me they are tired that team. They never showed it last week but they will this week. A body can take just so much. They will never be able to play like they did against the Brumbies. This is Altitude people. Bulls must make the most of the firs 30min. Don’t let Saders away in that time, keep the ball and keep em running.
HI all, got the wheels rolling at work, so I’m back.
Puma I agree, the benefits of resting would be huge come final time should we get to that !!!
fender
Congrats on your team. You must be soooo happy hey, or is it a bit like kissing your sister? š
How did your recording go ?
I’m not trying to take anything away from the Saders but the Brumboes really dissapointed me the weekend, thought they will come out firing a lot more…
Imo the Brumbies were a bigger dissapointment than the Sharks, looking at their player pool.
blouste @ 34
“HI all, got the wheels rolling at work, so Iām back”
…
hmmm, is daai engels vi “ek het gou die cullerts aan die werk gesit?” š
#25 Super
Please gooi a native language. Something got lost in translation there…kannie uitmaak wat jy se of waarna jy verwysie.
Se gou weer?
Puma, I’ve looked at that Saders / Bulls game a couple of times.
Our biggest problem was first time tackling. It was horrendous to say the least.
Will definatly have to work on that big time…
You only have to look at the highlights to see that.
29 – Okay I typed a post there now have to type it again š saying I am posting too quick..hehe HOW???
Okay here it goes again. Super, Who would you have on the wing?
Now very slow to press and send….hehehe.
@ 36 š
š
Ash
Het julle al gelees van ons nuwe Bulls supporters vir die volgende games ?
38 – Blouste, YES, that is exactly what I have said there. Bulls MUST get those first time tackles. Not scramble and get them by that time the Saders are well gone. Also tires a team that. First time tackles is a absolute must. Also keep possession. Run at them, that will tire them. They will be expecting big bombs coming their way. That will play into their hands, they will keep possession and just keeping running at Bulls.
Jaco vd Westhuizen
Mangweni did well this weekend in terms of defense…
blouste @ 41
nee
voer julle nou al ondersteuners in?
nie geweet dit gaan so moeilik by julle nie!!
36 Ash, 37 – Fender….hehehe š You two okes are very funny man…….hahahaha.
#34 Sorrie, ek sien nou ees you post.
Dis my ondervinding dat ‘n recording gelykstaande is anne raaisel wat inne mystery toegedraai is en Saterdag het dit nou ma net eenmaal weer bewys. Dit vat ons na an 90 minute om die regte sound uit ‘n top of the range floor tom (drom) uit te kry – voor ons kon begin record!
Anyway, annie eide vanne 13-uur werksdag het ons dam te minste die drum track (ja, nettie drum track!) vannie 6 songs neer te le. Die anner instrumentasie sal ons later oor die drum track neerle.
Gelukkig het ek dammie baie gemis in terme vanne game rugby nie – wel as ek so na die highlights kyk.
Ash
Puma, Winston en ek dink Sharky het almal hulle liefde vir die Bulle belei vir die volgende weke !!!
Hi Puma,
Thanks, but if you support anything that comes from these parts, its best that you have a good sense of humour! š
43 – Blouste, Is that who will play wing, or who you would want there this week? Tell you what when Van Den Heever comes back if you make the final. He will have had two weeks rest. That may be a bit much rest. Hope he is not a bit rusty. Though so young he will be wanting to burst out to play I think. Pity about that tackle. Don’t think it was a 2 week suspension really. Maybe a week. You guys want a loan of Mvovo? Remember you Bully Boys were kind to loan us a lock….hehhehe. Give Plum a call..hahah. Don’t think that is allowed though. Pity. He is going to be really great for the Sharks in CC and next year.
fender @ 47
Ek sal maar die afleiding maak dat dit onder normale omstandighede beteken…”Dit het goed gegaan”
49 – Fender, LOL. You and Ash have a brilliant sense of humour have me laughing a lot. Also Turk when he is blogging he too is a good laugh.
Puma
No, just looking at the posibilities…
See Jaco Pretorius also back in the mix…
DSTV se nuwe pornrkanaal is KykSlet.
Die voorlopige skedule is soos volg…
18:00 Kwyla
19:00 Vroetel met Freek
20:00 Noot vir stoot
21:00 7de Slet
22:00 Boer soek ‘n hoer
23:00 Binnebouders
Die ‘rusty’ argument gaan nie op nie. Wie was die beste slot saterdag op Ouland ? Flippie wat al ‘n klompie weke gerus het en glad nie ‘rusty’ voorgekom het nie.
Spankeuse: as Jaco P reg is, sal ek hom speel en Dippenaar vleuel toe skuif, met Moses op die bank.
41 – Blouste….. š³ You letting the cat out the bag here……hehehehe.
53 – Blouste on wing don’t think you going to have a problem. If it was FdP, Morne, Matfield then you would have, the wing you can fill in. Maybe they not as good as Van Den Heever but one of those players will be fine.
Morning Turk, See you up there.
54
Hahahaha jy is weer kreatief vandag
He he he, yes Puma
Ashley still working out a comeback on that one…
Just HAD to tell them š
VRYSTAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAT! Will the Bulls play their A or B team this weekend?
Users Online
Total 197 users including 0 member, 197 guests, 0 bot online
Most users ever online were 3735, on 31 August 2022 @ 6:23 pm
No Counter as from 31 October 2009: 41,832,136 Page Impressions
_