Predicting the final log

Published 14 September 2009 | By Snoek

This is normally the time that the calculations begin to see who will host the semifinals and who will be playing away. This is how I see the last four rounds going in the Currie Cup for 2009.

 

Let’s start the analysis with the table topping Sharks team. The first row of points being the log points of the team being analyzed and second row of points for the team they play against.

 

Sharks (36)

 

Cheetahs (H)              4 – 1

Leopards (H)               5 – 0

Lions (H)                    4 – 1

Griekwas (A)               5 – 0

 

This will take the sharks to 54 log points.

 

Western Province (34)

 

Leopards (H)               5 – 0

Griekwas (H)               5 – 0

Boland (H)                  5 – 0

Lions (A)                    1 – 4

 

This will take WP to 50 log points.

 

 Griekwas (34)

 

Lions (H)                    1 – 4

WP (A)                      0 – 5

Bulls (A)                     0 – 5

Sharks (H)                  0 – 5

 

This will take Griekwas to 35 log points.

 

Cheetahs (29)

 

Sharks (A)                  1 – 4

Bulls (A)                     1 – 4

Leopards (H)              5 – 0

Boland (A)                   5 – 0

 

This will take the Cheetahs to 41 log points.

 

Bulls (27)

 

Boland (A)                   5 – 0

Cheetahs (H)               4 – 1

Griekwas (H)               5 – 0

Leopards (A)               5 – 0

 

This will take the Bulls to 46 log points.

 

 Lions (26)

 

Griekwas (A)               4 – 1

Boland (H)                  5 – 0

Sharks (A)                  1 – 4

WP (H)                       4 – 1

 

This will take the Lions to 40 log points.

 

The above scenario will make the log after the playoffs look like this.

 

Sharks             –           54

WP                  –           50

Bulls                –           46

Cheetahs          –           41

Lions                –           40

Griekwas           –           35

 

If the Cheetahs do not pick up some bonus points against the Sharks and Bulls, the might still end in fifth place. One win or loss against what I predicted might scramble the log drastically, but if I was a betting man this is what my final log would look like.

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